5 replies to this topic

[Activee]

(this is not mine ) but I'm tryin to help. And I need help in order to help lol. I think there are a very few here who will understand this. So..

NL Texas Hold'em €0.10/€0.25- 6 players

Stacks:
UTG (€25)
CO - Hero (€25)
BTN (€23.90) H 121/ VP 76/ PFR 57/ AF flop 1/
SB (€12.47) H 5/ VP 80
BB (€19.33)

Preflop: (€0.35, 5 players) Hero is CO with Ac Ad
1 fold, Hero raises €1, BTN calls €1, SB calls €0.90, BB calls €0.75

Flop: 2c 6c 5d (€4, 4 players)
SB bets €1, 1 fold, Hero raises €3.75, BTN raises €6.50, SB raises €10.47 (all-in), Hero ???
----

My answer to him :

AdAc 21.20 %

99-55,22,A6s,65s,43s,9c8c,9c7c,8c7c,Ac4c,5c4c,A6o,65o,43o 36.71 %

TT-55,22,65s,43s,9c8c,9c7c,8c7c,Ac4c,5c4c,65o,43o 42.09 %

I didn't put 2 overs + flush draw in his range. Maybe I should have ?

pot = 24,72.

If the other calls
19,15 +19,15 +24,72=63,02 need to win 30% of the time to be breakeven. You don't have it so Fold

(
if he folds
10,47+24,72= 34,49 You need to win 30 % of the time aswell and there you got 46 % winning chances ( I didn't put above ) So you are good

I went a bit crazy next. He will fold only 7 % of hands. Wich means he will be on a 46% chances 7 % of the time and 21 % 93% of the time. Some Einstein calculation that I'm not even sure about gave me 22 % for the combination of both. SO It's a fucking fold.

Show

93*21+7*46=2275 => 22,75%

)

I went a bit crazy at the end with % but whatever lol

Edited by Activee, 02 August 2012 - 04:51 PM.

[muumi]

nvm i post later

Edited by muumi, 02 August 2012 - 04:02 PM.

[Odi.]

FOLD

I did something similar to this hand in the casino some time ago. Also had aces and I threw them away on the turn, board was something like 6 5 8 turn 10. Reasons enough to fold them against 2 other players that went all in.

Edited by Odi., 02 August 2012 - 05:21 PM.

[shift]

btn looks rly strong probably a set, sb has fd. this is really low stakes tho so im probably wrong and they are just retards with pair draws. if this was me i call anyway and hope for runner runner chop

[Activee]

Well that's probably where I'm wrong: applying this to low stakes. I just wanted to know if my way to analyse the pot odds was correct and if my calling range was correct also aswell as my villain range? (ie : calling winning porcentage have to be higher than pot odds porcentage ? right ?)

secundo. after watching a lot of hands analyse by the bests (http://www.youtube.c...WeeklyPokerHand). I know that's the best way to analyse a hand. But I don't get how that could be possible while the hand is happening. To me it's only possible to do afterward because it takes too much time. So what's the point ? Do big players have a "somewhat idea" of what a hand odds, villain's range, villain's bluffing range look like after analyzing so much hands ?

tertio. And sorry for that one. But I watched a video today that might be the best poker preflop video I ever watched. .

If you watch it. Do you think it's any good and applying in full ring ? Applying in low limits ? I find it really interesting but in low limits I don't think it's applying. Cuz I tryied today and it's like my 3bets have almost to none fold equity ( nl2 ). But I dig the concept. And do you think against a TAG decent opponent it does really apply ?


That's all I want to know for today. I want to learn a lot cuz I won my first 200+15 buy in for this saturday

Edited by Activee, 03 August 2012 - 03:01 AM.

[agertz]

video doesnt work